Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 3
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 4352 5
Rasmussen Reports 10/30/2008 4453 3
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) 10/28/2008 4045 15
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/24/2008 4150 9
Mason-Dixon, Argus Leader, KELO-TV 10/15/2008 4148 11
American Research Group 9/21/2008 3955 6
Rasmussen Reports 9/9/2008 3754 9
Rasmussen 7/9/2008 4347 10
Dakota Wesleyan U. 4/3/2008 3451 15
Rasmussen 3/4/2008 3848 14
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 4347 10

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map