Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 8
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 4452 4
SurveyUSA, WCSC-TV 10/29/2008 3958 3
SurveyUSA, WCSC-TV 10/29/2008 4452 4
NBC, PSRA 10/28/2008 4253 5
Rasmussen Reports 10/20/2008 4354 3
Winthrop, ETV 10/19/2008 3555 10
SurveyUSA 10/13/2008 4155 4
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 9/24/2008 3954 7
SurveyUSA 9/22/2008 3958 3
Rasmussen Reports 9/18/2008 4551 4
American Research Group 9/15/2008 3759 4
Research 2000, DailyKos.com (D) 7/23/2008 4053 7
Public Policy Polling (D) 7/11/2008 3945 16
Rasmussen 6/8/2008 3948 13
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 4548 7

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map