Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 4
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 5837 5
Opinion Factor 10/1/2008 4826 26
Rhode Island College 9/24/2008 4531 24
Rasmussen Reports 9/13/2008 5839 3
American Research Group 9/13/2008 5933 8
Brown University 8/20/2008 5130 19
Rasmussen 6/30/2008 5531 14
Rhode Island College 6/27/2008 5325 22
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 5338 9

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map