Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 7
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 3958 3
TVPoll.com 10/26/2008 34.861.6 3.6
TVPoll.com 10/20/2008 3264 4
SurveyUSA 10/19/2008 3559 6
TVPoll.com 10/12/2008 3263 5
TVPoll.com 10/5/2008 2966 5
SurveyUSA 9/29/2008 3464 2
TVPoll.com 9/28/2008 2768 5
TVPoll.com 9/22/2008 2666 8
American Research Group 9/18/2008 3461 5
TVPoll.com 9/14/2008 2769 4
Rasmussen Reports 9/11/2008 3263 5
TVPoll.com 9/7/2008 3066 4
SurveyUSA 9/7/2008 3265 3
Sooner Poll 7/23/2008 2456 20
Research 2000 6/11/2008 3852 10
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 3457 9

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map