Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateHagan (D)Dole (R)Other
SurveyUSA 11/2/2008 50437
Public Policy Polling (D) 11/2/2008 51445
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 484210
Mason-Dixon 10/30/2008 45469
Elon University 10/30/2008 443719
Civitas Institute (R) 10/29/2008 454312
Rasmussen Reports 10/29/2008 52462
Time, CNN 10/28/2008 53443
Public Policy Polling (D) 10/26/2008 48457
WSOC-TV 10/21/2008 444313
SurveyUSA 10/20/2008 46459
Civitas Institute (R) 10/20/2008 444115
Public Policy Polling (D) 10/19/2008 49429
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/15/2008 49456
Public Policy Polling (D) 10/12/2008 464410
Anzalone-Liszt (D) 10/9/2008 453421
Civitas Institute (R) 10/8/2008 454213
Rasmussen Reports 10/8/2008 49447
WSOC-TV 10/7/2008 444313
SurveyUSA 10/6/2008 434413
Public Policy Polling (D) 10/5/2008 494011
Public Policy Polling (D) 9/29/2008 463816
Rasmussen Reports 9/23/2008 48457
Civitas Institute (R) 9/20/2008 414316
Public Policy Polling (D) 9/19/2008 464113
Rasmussen Reports 9/18/2008 51454
Elon University 9/16/2008 353530
Research 2000, DailyKos.com (D) 9/10/2008 424810
Public Policy Polling (D) 9/9/2008 434215
SurveyUSA 9/8/2008 404812
Democracy Corps (D) 8/26/2008 50455
Public Policy Polling (D) 8/23/2008 423919
InsiderAdvantage 8/19/2008 404020
Civitas Institute (R) 8/17/2008 414415
SurveyUSA 8/11/2008 414613
Research 2000, DailyKos.com (D) 7/30/2008 42508
Public Policy Polling (D) 7/27/2008 404911
Civitas Institute (R) 7/16/2008 384715
Rasmussen Reports 7/15/2008 43543
SurveyUSA 7/14/2008 42544
Tarrance (R) 7/9/2008 365113
Public Policy Polling (D) 6/29/2008 375112
Civitas Institute (R) 6/13/2008 384814
Rasmussen Reports 6/10/2008 39538
Public Policy Polling (D) 5/29/2008 394714
Anzalone-Liszt (D) 5/21/2008 44488
SurveyUSA 5/19/2008 46504
Civitas Institute (R) 5/17/2008 434512
Public Policy Polling (D) 5/9/2008 43489
Rasmussen Reports 5/8/2008 48475
Research 2000, DailyKos.com (D) 4/30/2008 414811
Rasmussen Reports 4/10/2008 39529
Public Policy Polling (D) 2/18/2008 335017
Public Policy Polling (D) 1/21/2008 354817
Rasmussen Reports 12/19/2007 355510
Research 2000, DailyKos.com (D) 12/18/2007 394615
Public Policy Polling (D) 12/12/2007 395110
Public Policy Polling (D) 10/30/2007 334621
Public Policy Polling (D) 7/9/2007 274330

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map