Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 31
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 5838 4
SurveyUSA 10/28/2008 6233 5
Marist College 10/22/2008 6529 6
Siena 10/21/2008 6231 7
Rasmussen Reports 10/14/2008 5737 6
SurveyUSA 10/12/2008 6431 5
Siena 9/30/2008 5836 6
SurveyUSA 9/24/2008 5738 5
American Research Group 9/16/2008 5538 7
Rasmussen Reports 9/15/2008 5542 3
Siena 9/10/2008 4641 13
Siena College 8/14/2008 4739 14
Quinnipiac University 8/4/2008 5736 7
Rasmussen 8/4/2008 5536 9
Siena 7/29/2008 4426 30
Siena 7/9/2008 5037 13
Rasmussen 6/27/2008 5737 6
New York Times 6/11/2008 5132 17
Quinnipiac 6/8/2008 5036 14
Rassmussen 5/28/2008 5233 15
SurveyUSA 5/18/2008 4838 14
Siena Coll. 5/14/2008 4938 13
Rasmussen 5/1/2008 5235 13
Siena Coll. 4/16/2008 4540 15
Quinnipiac University 4/15/2008 4739 14
SurveyUSA 4/13/2008 5243 5
Marist Coll. 4/8/2008 4648 6
Quinnipiac University 3/18/2008 4938 13
SurveyUSA 3/16/2008 5244 4
Rasmussen 3/11/2008 5138 11
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 5238 10
SurveyUSA 2/17/2008 5736 7

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map