Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 538
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
Marist College 11/3/2008 5243 5
Harris Interactive (D) 11/3/2008 5244 4
CBS News 11/2/2008 5142 7
FOX News, Opinion Dynamics 11/2/2008 5043 7
Marist College 11/2/2008 5344 3
Democracy Corps (D) 11/2/2008 5144 5
NBC News, Wall Street Journal 11/2/2008 5143 6
CNN, Opinion Research Corp. 11/1/2008 5346 1
Ipsos 11/1/2008 5346 1
Pew Research Center 11/1/2008 4942 9
CBS News 10/31/2008 5441 5
Marist College 10/29/2008 5043 7
CBS News, New York Times 10/29/2008 5239 9
FOX News, Opinion Dynamics 10/29/2008 4744 9
Ipsos 10/27/2008 5045 5
Harris Interactive (D) 10/27/2008 5044 6
YouGov, Economist (D) 10/27/2008 4942 9
American Research Group 10/27/2008 5045 5
Associated Press, Yahoo 10/27/2008 5043 7
Pew Research Center 10/26/2008 5338 9
Democracy Corps (D) 10/23/2008 5243 5
CBS News, New York Times 10/22/2008 5239 9
Big Ten Battleground Poll 10/22/2008 5243 5
YouGov, Economist (D) 10/21/2008 4941 10
FOX News, Opinion Dynamics 10/21/2008 4940 11
Diageo, Hotline 10/21/2008 4742 11
Ipsos 10/20/2008 5042 8
American Research Group 10/20/2008 4945 6
NBC News, Wall Street Journal 10/20/2008 5039 11
Associated Press-GfK 10/20/2008 4443 13
Franklin & Marshall College 10/19/2008 5045 5
Democracy Corps (D) 10/19/2008 4944 7
CNN, Opinion Research Corp. 10/19/2008 5146 3
Pew Research Center 10/19/2008 5339 8
LA Times, Bloomberg 10/13/2008 5041 9
Americab Research Group 10/13/2008 5045 5
Ipsos 10/13/2008 4839 13
CBS News, NY Times 10/13/2008 5339 8
TechnoMetrica Institute of Public Policy 10/12/2008 4540 15
Democracy Corps (D) 10/12/2008 5142 7
YouGov, Economist (D) 10/12/2008 4842 10
Pew Research Center 10/12/2008 4942 9
USA Today, Gallup 10/12/2008 5245 3
ABC News, Wash Post 10/11/2008 5343 4
Newsweek, PSRA 10/9/2008 5241 7
FOX News, Opinion Dynamics 10/9/2008 4639 15
Ipsos 10/6/2008 4740 13
American Research Group 10/6/2008 4945 6
CBS News 10/5/2008 4845 7
Democracy Corps (D) 10/5/2008 4845 7
NBC News, Wall Street Journal 10/5/2008 4943 8
CNN, Opinion Research Corp. 10/5/2008 5345 2
Zogby Interactive (D) 10/3/2008 4844 8
Associated Press-GfK 9/30/2008 4841 11
Marist College 9/30/2008 4944 7
CBS News 9/30/2008 5041 9
Democracy Corps (D) 9/30/2008 4945 6
ABC News, Washington Post 9/29/2008 4845 7
Pew Research Center 9/29/2008 4943 8
Time 9/29/2008 5043 7
Ipsos 9/29/2008 4845 7
YouGov, Economist (D) 9/29/2008 4742 11
American Research Group 9/29/2008 4945 6
CBS News, New York Times 9/24/2008 4742 11
Democracy Corps (D) 9/24/2008 4744 9
YouGov, Economist (D) 9/24/2008 4643 11
FOX News, Opinion Dynamics 9/23/2008 4539 16
ABC News, Washington Post 9/22/2008 5243 5
Ipsos 9/22/2008 4443 13
NBC News, Wall Street Journal 9/22/2008 4846 6
LA Times, Bloomberg 9/22/2008 4945 6
American Research Group 9/22/2008 4846 6
Franklin & Marshall College 9/21/2008 4547 8
CNN, Opinion Research Corp. 9/21/2008 4845 7
The Economist, YouGov (D) 9/16/2008 4345 12
Quinnipiac University 9/16/2008 4945 6
CBS News, New York Times 9/16/2008 4944 7
Ipsos 9/15/2008 4545 10
American Research Group 9/15/2008 4548 7
Pew Research Center 9/14/2008 4646 8
Reuters, Zogby 9/13/2008 4745 8
Newsweek 9/11/2008 4646 8
George Washington University 9/11/2008 4448 8
Democracy Corps (D) 9/10/2008 4648 6
Associated Press-GfK 9/10/2008 4448 8
The Economist, YouGov (D) 9/9/2008 4140 19
Ipsos 9/9/2008 4546 9
FOX News, Opinion Dynamics 9/9/2008 4245 13
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 9/8/2008 4346 11
InsiderAdvantage 9/8/2008 4646 8
NBC News, Wall Street Journal 9/8/2008 4746 7
American Research Group 9/8/2008 4746 7
ABC News, Washington Post 9/7/2008 4749 4
USA Today, Gallup 9/7/2008 4454 2
CBS News, New York Times 9/7/2008 4446 10
Investor's Business Daily, TechnoMetrica Institute of Public Policy 9/7/2008 4540 15
CNN, Opinion Research Corp. 9/7/2008 4545 10
Zogby Interactive (D) 9/6/2008 4650 4
YouGov, Economist 9/3/2008 4239 19
Democracy Corps (D) 9/3/2008 4944 7
CBS News 9/3/2008 4242 16
American Research Group 9/1/2008 4943 8
CBS News 8/31/2008 4840 12
USA Today, Gallup 8/31/2008 5043 7
Diageo, Hotline 8/31/2008 4839 13
CNN, Opinion Research Corp. 8/31/2008 4644 10
Zogby Interactive (D) 8/30/2008 4443 13
Diageo, The Hotline 8/24/2008 4440 16
CNN 8/24/2008 4747 6
USA Today, Gallup 8/23/2008 4845 7
ABC, Washington Post 8/22/2008 4943 8
FOX News, Opinion Dynamics 8/20/2008 4239 19
Economist, YouGov-Polimetrix 8/20/2008 3938 23
CBS News, NY Times 8/19/2008 4542 13
NBC, Wall Street Journal 8/18/2008 4542 13
LA Times, Bloomberg 8/18/2008 4241 17
Quinnipiac University 8/17/2008 4742 11
Zogby, Reuters 8/16/2008 4146 13
Zogby Interactive (D) 8/14/2008 4340 17
GWU Battleground 8/14/2008 4647 7
The Economist, YouGov 8/13/2008 4140 19
Gallup 8/10/2008 4538 17
Pew Research 8/10/2008 4643 11
IBD, TIPP 8/9/2008 4348 9
Harris Interactive (D) 8/7/2008 4738 15
The Economist, YouGov 8/6/2008 4239 19
CBS News 8/5/2008 4539 16
Time 8/4/2008 4641 13
AP, Ipsos 8/4/2008 4842 10
Zogby (D) 8/3/2008 4142 17
CNN 7/29/2008 4642 12
Pew Research 7/27/2008 4742 11
Research 2000 7/27/2008 5139 10
USAToday, Gallup 7/27/2008 4549 6
Democracy Corp (D) 7/24/2008 4943 8
Fox News, Opinion Dynamics 7/23/2008 4140 19
NBC News, Wall St Journal 7/21/2008 4741 12
CBS News, NY Times 7/14/2008 4539 16
ABC News, Washington Post 7/13/2008 4946 5
Reuters, Zogby 7/13/2008 4740 13
Quinnipiac 7/13/2008 5041 9
IBD, TIPP 7/11/2008 4037 23
Newsweek 7/10/2008 4441 15
Pew Research 6/29/2008 4840 12
CNN 6/29/2008 5045 5
Time 6/25/2008 4743 10
Democracy Corps (D) 6/25/2008 4945 6
LA Times, Bloomberg 6/23/2008 4937 14
Franklin & Marshall College 6/22/2008 4236 22
Newsweek 6/19/2008 5136 13
USA Today, Gallup 6/19/2008 5044 6
Fox News 6/18/2008 4541 14
ABC News, Wash Post 6/15/2008 4945 6
Cook, RT Strategies 6/15/2008 4440 16
Reuters, Zogby 6/14/2008 4742 11
Ipsos 6/11/2008 5043 7
NBC, WSJ 6/9/2008 4741 12
Hotline, FD 6/8/2008 4442 14
IBD, TIPP 6/8/2008 4340 17
CNN 6/5/2008 4946 5
CBS News 6/3/2008 4842 10
USA Today, Gallup 6/1/2008 4944 7
Cook, RT Strategies 5/31/2008 4443 13
Pew Research 5/25/2008 4744 9
Newsweek 5/22/2008 4646 8
Gallup 5/21/2008 4744 9
Economist, YouGov 5/21/2008 4341 16
Rasmussen 5/20/2008 4445 11
IBD, TIPP 5/18/2008 4837 15
Zogby 5/18/2008 4840 12
Gallup 5/16/2008 4447 9
Rasmussen 5/16/2008 4445 11
Economist, YouGov 5/15/2008 3942 19
GWU (Lake, Tarrance) 5/14/2008 4947 4
Democracy Corps (D) 5/13/2008 4846 6
Rasmussen 5/12/2008 4746 7
Quinnipiac 5/12/2008 4740 13
Gallup 5/11/2008 4743 10
ABC, Post 5/11/2008 5144 5
NPR 5/10/2008 4843 9
Rasmussen 5/8/2008 4744 9
Times, Bloomberg 5/8/2008 4640 14
Economist, YouGov 5/6/2008 3946 15
Gallup 5/6/2008 4645 9
AP-Ipsos 5/4/2008 4642 12
Rasmussen 5/4/2008 4347 10
USA Today, Gallup 5/3/2008 4748 5
CBS, Times 5/3/2008 5038 12
Diageo, Hotline 5/3/2008 4743 10
Economist, YouGov 5/2/2008 4341 16
Gallup 5/1/2008 4248 10
CNN 4/30/2008 4945 6
Rasmussen 4/30/2008 4346 11
FOX 4/29/2008 4346 11
CBS, Times 4/29/2008 4545 10
NBC, WSJ 4/28/2008 4643 11
AP-Ipsos 4/27/2008 4644 10
Pew 4/27/2008 5044 6
Gallup 4/26/2008 4545 10
Rasmussen 4/26/2008 4646 8
Newsweek 4/25/2008 4744 9
Economist, YouGov 4/22/2008 4245 13
Rasmussen 4/22/2008 4447 9
Gallup 4/21/2008 4545 10
USA Today, Gallup 4/20/2008 4944 7
Cook, RT 4/20/2008 4544 11
Rasmussen 4/18/2008 4148 11
Democracy Corps (D) 4/17/2008 4847 5
Newsweek 4/17/2008 4844 8
Economist, YouGov 4/16/2008 4245 13
Gallup 4/16/2008 4644 10
Rasmussen 4/14/2008 4347 10
ABC, Post 4/13/2008 4944 7
Harris Interactive 4/12/2008 4135 24
Zogby 4/12/2008 4545 10
Gallup 4/11/2008 4643 11
Rasmussen 4/10/2008 4447 9
AP-Ipsos 4/9/2008 4545 10
Economist, YouGov 4/8/2008 4444 12
Economist, YouGov 4/7/2008 4344 13
Gallup 4/6/2008 4545 10
IBD, TIPP 4/6/2008 4444 12
Rasmussen 4/6/2008 4546 9
Rasmussen 4/2/2008 4148 11
CBS, Times 4/2/2008 4742 11
Gallup 4/1/2008 4446 10
Diageo, Hotline 3/31/2008 4446 10
Rasmussen 3/29/2008 4447 9
Gallup 3/27/2008 4446 10
Democracy Corps (D) 3/27/2008 4649 5
RNC (R) 3/27/2008 4248 10
Economist, YouGov 3/26/2008 4244 14
Rasmussen 3/25/2008 4151 8
NBC, WSJ 3/25/2008 4442 14
Gallup 3/24/2008 4445 11
Rasmussen 3/24/2008 4150 9
Economist, YouGov 3/24/2008 4145 14
Harris Interactive 3/24/2008 3933 28
Pew 3/22/2008 4943 8
Rasmussen 3/21/2008 4149 10
Gallup 3/21/2008 4446 10
FOX 3/19/2008 4344 13
CBS 3/18/2008 4843 9
Rasmussen 3/17/2008 4248 10
Gallup 3/16/2008 4446 10
USA Today, Gallup 3/16/2008 4947 4
CNN 3/16/2008 4746 7
Zogby 3/14/2008 4046 14
Rasmussen 3/13/2008 4445 11
Gallup 3/11/2008 4644 10
NBC, WSJ 3/10/2008 4744 9
Rasmussen 3/9/2008 4445 11
Cook, RT 3/9/2008 4345 12
Newsweek 3/6/2008 4645 9
Rasmussen 3/5/2008 4446 10
SurveyUSA 3/4/2008 4646 8
Cook, RT 3/2/2008 4738 15
ABC, Post 3/2/2008 5342 5
Rasmussen 3/1/2008 4348 9
Economist, YouGov 2/26/2008 4344 13
Democracy Corps (D) 2/26/2008 4847 5
Rasmussen 2/26/2008 4346 11
Times, Bloomberg 2/25/2008 4244 14
CBS, Times 2/24/2008 5038 12
Pew 2/24/2008 5043 7
USA Today, Gallup 2/24/2008 4748 5
AP-Ipsos 2/24/2008 5141 8
Rasmussen 2/22/2008 4346 11
FOX 2/20/2008 4743 10
Economist, YouGov 2/20/2008 4544 11
Rasmussen 2/18/2008 4643 11
Diageo, Hotline 2/17/2008 4840 12
Reuters, Zogby 2/16/2008 4740 13
Rasmussen 2/14/2008 4643 11
Economist, YouGov 2/12/2008 4939 12
USA Today, Gallup 2/10/2008 5046 4
Rasmussen 2/10/2008 4440 16
AP-Ipsos 2/10/2008 4842 10
Rasmussen 2/6/2008 4643 11
Economist, YouGov 2/5/2008 4438 18
Time 2/4/2008 4841 11
CNN 2/3/2008 5244 4
Cook, RT 2/2/2008 4543 12
ABC, Post 2/1/2008 4748 5
NPR 1/31/2008 4748 5
Democracy Corps (D) 1/31/2008 4748 5
FOX 1/31/2008 4443 13
Times, Bloomberg 1/22/2008 4142 17
NBC, WSJ 1/22/2008 4242 16
USA Today, Gallup 1/13/2008 4550 5
Diageo, Hotline 1/12/2008 4342 15
Reuters, Zogby 1/11/2008 4345 12
CNN 1/10/2008 4948 3
FOX 12/19/2007 4044 16
Rasmussen 12/16/2007 4345 12
Zogby 12/14/2007 4743 10
CNN 12/9/2007 4848 4
Gallup 11/14/2007 4744 9
Quinnipiac 10/29/2007 4343 14
Times, Bloomberg 10/22/2007 4436 20
Rasmussen 10/18/2007 4445 11
FOX 9/26/2007 4038 22
Rasmussen 9/20/2007 4641 13
Rasmussen 8/16/2007 4640 14
Quinnipiac 8/13/2007 4339 18
FOX 7/18/2007 4737 16
Rasmussen 7/17/2007 4738 15
Zogby 7/14/2007 4542 13
CNN 6/24/2007 4844 8
Newsweek 6/21/2007 5141 8
Gallup 6/14/2007 4846 6
Quinnipiac 6/11/2007 4341 16
Times, Bloomberg 6/10/2007 4735 18
Zogby 5/20/2007 4643 11
Diageo, Hotline 5/20/2007 4239 19
Newsweek 5/3/2007 5239 9
Rasmussen 5/3/2007 4642 12
WNBC, Marist 5/1/2007 3946 15
Quinnipiac 5/1/2007 4242 16
Diageo, Hotline 4/30/2007 4837 15
NBC, WSJ 4/23/2007 4539 16
Rasmussen 4/10/2007 4842 10
Times, Bloomberg 4/9/2007 4840 12
Time 4/9/2007 4742 11
Time 3/26/2007 4345 12
McLaughlin (R) 3/25/2007 3938 23
Dem Corps (D) 3/25/2007 5043 7
Rasmussen 3/15/2007 4444 12
Time 3/12/2007 4441 15
ARG 3/5/2007 4246 12
Newsweek 3/1/2007 4543 12
Time 2/26/2007 4642 12
Zogby 2/24/2007 4440 16
Quinnipiac 2/19/2007 4343 14
WNBC, Marist 2/15/2007 4144 15
USA Today, Gallup 2/11/2007 4848 4
Rasmussen 2/8/2007 4444 12
Newsweek 1/25/2007 4842 10
Time 1/23/2007 4249 9
ABC, Post 1/19/2007 4745 8
Newsweek 1/18/2007 4644 10
Rasmussen 1/18/2007 4744 9
Diageo, Hotline 1/14/2007 3843 19
GWU (Lake, Tarrance) 1/11/2007 3951 10
IBD, TIPP 1/4/2007 3648 16

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map