Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 8
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
SurveyUSA 11/1/2008 4056 4
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 4153 6
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/29/2008 3956 5
Mason-Dixon, Courier-Journal 10/29/2008 4251 7
Rasmussen Reports 10/29/2008 4355 2
Research 2000, Herald-Leader 10/21/2008 3955 6
Rasmussen Reports 10/21/2008 4452 4
SurveyUSA 10/20/2008 4154 5
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/16/2008 3953 8
Rasmussen Reports 9/30/2008 4252 6
Mason-Dixon 9/25/2008 4153 6
SurveyUSA 9/22/2008 3857 5
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 9/17/2008 3755 8
American Research Group 9/12/2008 3757 6
SurveyUSA 8/11/2008 3755 8
Research 2000, DailyKos.com (D) 7/30/2008 3556 9
Rasmussen 7/29/2008 4352 5
Rasmussen 6/24/2008 3541 24
SurveyUSA 6/16/2008 4153 6
Rasmussen 5/22/2008 3257 11
Research 2000 5/9/2008 3358 9
SurveyUSA 4/13/2008 2963 8
SurveyUSA 3/16/2008 2864 8
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 3354 13
SurveyUSA 2/4/2008 3261 7

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map