Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 55
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 5540 5
SurveyUSA 10/31/2008 6036 4
Field 10/28/2008 5533 12
Public Policy Institute of California 10/19/2008 5633 11
SurveyUSA 10/16/2008 5935 6
Rasmussen Reports 10/9/2008 5640 4
SurveyUSA 10/6/2008 5539 6
SurveyUSA 9/24/2008 5343 4
Rasmussen Reports 9/22/2008 5639 5
American Research Group 9/20/2008 5339 8
Public Policy Institute of California 9/16/2008 5040 10
Field 9/14/2008 5236 12
Rasmussen 8/20/2008 5441 5
Public Policy Institute of California 8/19/2008 4839 13
Rasmussen 7/24/2008 5242 6
Public Policy Institute California 7/22/2008 5035 15
Field 7/14/2008 5430 16
Rasmussen 6/23/2008 5830 12
SurveyUSA 6/19/2008 5341 6
Field 5/27/2008 5235 13
LA Times 5/21/2008 4740 13
Rasmussen 5/20/2008 5238 10
SurveyUSA 5/18/2008 4941 10
Rasmussen 4/16/2008 5043 7
SurveyUSA 4/13/2008 5043 7
Public Policy Institute of California 3/18/2008 4940 11
SurveyUSA 3/16/2008 5440 6
Rasmussen 3/12/2008 5338 9
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 5140 9
SurveyUSA 2/17/2008 6134 5

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map