Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 10
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 4650 4
American Research Group 10/30/2008 4650 4
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/30/2008 4748 5
NBC News, Mason Dixon 10/28/2008 4448 8
Time, CNN 10/28/2008 4653 1
Northern Arizona University, U of WA 10/27/2008 4149 10
Arizona State University 10/26/2008 4446 10
Rasmussen Reports 10/26/2008 4651 3
Grove Insight (D) 10/24/2008 4044 16
Zimmeran & Associates 10/19/2008 41.543.5 15
Rasmussen Reports 9/29/2008 3859 3
American Research Group 9/14/2008 3956 5
Arizona State University 8/16/2008 3040 30
Mason-Dixon 8/15/2008 4147 12
Public Policy Polling (D) 7/31/2008 4052 8
Rasmussen 7/30/2008 3857 5
Rasmussen 6/25/2008 4049 11
Arizona State 6/21/2008 2838 34
Rocky Mtn Poll 5/20/2008 3950 11
Arizona State U. 4/27/2008 3847 15
Rasmussen 4/15/2008 3757 6
Northern Arizona U. 4/8/2008 3355 12
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 3951 10
Arizona State U. 2/24/2008 3849 13

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map