Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateBegich (D)Stevens (R)Other
Hays Research (D) 11/2/2008 49429
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 444214
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/30/2008 58366
Rasmussen Reports 10/28/2008 52444
Ivan Moore Research 10/19/2008 46459
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/16/2008 48466
Ivan Moore 10/6/2008 49456
Rasmussen Reports 10/6/2008 48493
Ivan Moore 9/22/2008 48466
Fairleigh Dickinson 9/21/2008 474310
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 9/17/2008 50446
Rasmussen Reports 9/9/2008 48466
Moore Information, NRSC (R) 9/3/2008 444610
Ivan Moore 9/2/2008 49465
Ivan Moore 8/12/2008 56395
Ivan Moore 7/31/2008 56359
Rasmussen Reports 7/30/2008 503713
Ivan Moore 7/22/2008 51436
Rasmussen Reports 7/17/2008 52444
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 7/16/2008 47458
Rasmussen Reports 6/16/2008 444610
Rasmussen Reports 5/14/2008 47458
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 5/14/2008 48439
Hellenthal, Sam Kito 5/10/2008 51445
Rasmussen Reports 4/7/2008 45469
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 12/6/2007 474112

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map