Polls and Graphs

In order to provide transparent analysis you can view our entire database of polls used in our calculations. The poll database is updated each day with the most current polls from a variety of sources. Our current collection is largely concentrated with Democratic Nomination and Presidential Election polls but there is still a decent collection of Republican Nomination Polls. The projection methodology for poll weight and selection depends on the election.

For the Democratic Nomination there is no vote count provided for Iowa, Nevada, Washington, Maine so the percent of delegates garnered is used in place. Only vote totals provided by either the races secretary of state or the races own Democratic Party are considered. A -1 denotes unpublished official vote data. The National race uses the projected delegate values based on polls for each race, not the projected values based on national polls alone.

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Electoral Votes: 3
Race: Election: Dem:
PollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
Hays Research (D) 11/2/2008 4548 7
YouGov, Polimetrix (D) 11/1/2008 3855 7
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/30/2008 3958 3
Rasmussen Reports 10/28/2008 4157 2
Ivan Moore Research 10/19/2008 4253 5
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 10/16/2008 3857 5
Ivan Moore Research 10/6/2008 3855 7
Rasmussen Reports 10/6/2008 4055 5
Research 2000, DailyKos (D) 9/17/2008 3855 7
American Research Group 9/11/2008 3660 4
Rasmussen Reports 9/9/2008 3364 3
Ivan Moore Research 9/2/2008 3554 11
American Viewpoint (R) 9/2/2008 3357 10
Hays Research Group (D) 8/7/2008 4540 15
Rasmussen 7/30/2008 4248 10
Rasmussen 7/17/2008 4449 7
Research 2000 7/16/2008 4151 8
Rasmussen 6/16/2008 4145 14
Global Strategy Group (D) 6/10/2008 4244 14
Rasmussen 5/14/2008 4150 9
Research 2000 5/14/2008 4249 9
Rasmussen 4/7/2008 4348 9
SurveyUSA 2/28/2008 4348 9

Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map