| Comments 
| Category: Daily Update
| 10/2/2008 10:59:51 AM CT
Yesterday brought a slew of good results for Obama in traditionally blue states, but today (so far) seems to focus on his gains in red states:
A serious trend is starting to emerge, a trend the McCain campaign should not take lightly. Obama has begun to gain traction in Georgia, Indiana, and Missouri, as well as posting leads in Virginia and North Carolina. If McCain simply watches the pro-Obama narrative play out he will lose, I don't even think a national security event could salvage his chances at this point. McCain is playing a blank hand, and needs to get the dealer's attention.
Unfortunately for McCain, he was dealt the VP debate in his moment of greatest need. The debate starts at 9 PM ET (8 CT, 6 PT) and features the mentally inept Sarah Palin vs. Joe Biden's thirty-five year Senate career, should be fun to watch. I'll be watching and posting my comments in a live thread, much like I did during the previous debate.
As another aside, if you count the number of Electoral Votes currently projected as Safe Dem the result is 217. On the other hand John McCain is projected to win just 183 total, a difference of thirty Electoral Votes. Taking a quick look at the scenario probabilities reveals another issue for John McCain. Our model shows Obama with a 14.15% chance of acquiring today's projection. McCain has a much larger percentage, 42.16%, but his tells another story, the great probability of losing.
Poll Update (10/2)
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