Poll Update (10/1)

By: TJHalva | Comments [6] | Category: Daily Update | 10/1/2008 9:13:20 AM CT

So far a blue day for John. The new batch of Quinnipiac polls showed that "more than 84 percent of voters in each state say the debate did not change their mind. But by margins of 13 to 17 percent, voters in each state say Obama did a better job in the debate. And by margins of 15 to 27 percent, independent voters in each state say Obama won." If these results are supported by further polling McCain is finished.

Wednesday is historically a large release day so expect an update later on. Well its later on and I've added a plethora of polls released today:

Race	Pollster	EndDate	Obama	McCain	Other
Florida (27)	Time, CNN	9/30/2008	51	43	6
Florida (27)	Suffolk University	9/30/2008	46	42	12
Florida (27)	InsiderAdvantage	9/30/2008	49	46	5
Florida (27)	Quinnipiac University	9/29/2008	51	43	6
Florida (27)	Quinnipiac University	9/26/2008	49	43	8
Minnesota (10)	Time, CNN	9/30/2008	53	41	6
Mississippi (6)	Rasmussen Reports	9/30/2008	44	52	4
Missouri (11)	Time, CNN	9/30/2008	47	46	7
National (538)	CBS News	9/30/2008	50	41	9
National (538)	Associated Press-GfK	9/30/2008	48	41	11
National (538)	Democracy Corps (D)	9/30/2008	49	45	6
National (538)	Ipsos	9/29/2008	48	45	7
National (538)	Time	9/29/2008	50	43	7
National (538)	Pew Research Center	9/29/2008	49	43	8
National (538)	YouGov, Economist (D)	9/24/2008	46	43	11
Nevada (5)	InsiderAdvantage	9/30/2008	48	47	5
Nevada (5)	Time, CNN	9/30/2008	49	44	7
Ohio (20)	Quinnipiac University	9/29/2008	50	42	8
Ohio (20)	Quinnipiac University	9/26/2008	49	42	9
Oklahoma (7)	SurveyUSA	9/29/2008	34	64	2
Pennsylvania (21)	Quinnipiac University	9/29/2008	54	39	7
Pennsylvania (21)	Franklin & Marshall College	9/28/2008	48	43	9
Pennsylvania (21)	Quinnipiac University	9/26/2008	49	43	8
Tennessee (11)	Rasmussen Reports	9/29/2008	39	58	3
Texas (34)	Rasmussen Reports	9/29/2008	43	52	5
Virginia (13)	Time, CNN	9/30/2008	52	42	6
Wisconsin (10)	Strategic Vision (R)	9/26/2008	49	40	11

You may have noticed the large number of new Pennsylvania polls today. While there were four new polls from the Quaker state, the other five represent a consolidation of old data. Muhlenberg College, Morning Call began releasing a tracking poll on September 26 for Pennsylvania. I had begun collecting data from this pollster but managed to incorrectly record their results. I have purged the database of these previous entries and reentered all six days of Muhlenberg's tracking poll every fifth day of the tracking poll.

Obama now has his biggest lead ever in our projection, by a whopping 172 electoral votes.

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6 Response(s) to Poll Update (10/1)

Dalek

10/1/2008 9:51:42 AM CT

It looks like Obama is going to finish McSame off for good...

In Arizona

10/1/2008 10:45:22 AM CT

Thank God!

sharon in ohio

10/1/2008 12:09:00 PM CT

I live in Columbus Ohio and I love the new polls from Quinnipiac showing Obama with the lead in my state. YES WE CAN!!!

Montana

10/1/2008 12:41:11 PM CT

As we come down to the final weeks of this election, I grow more wary with each day. I've been doing a lot of research and reading a lot of opinions etc. Last night I ran across this in a blog and thought it would be worth watching. It is. However, after I finished watching (approx. 2 hours), I didn't sleep much. This tells how W not only stole the presidency from Al Gore in Florida but he also did it to John Kerry in Ohio. I had heard about this but this is the first time I've come across an indepth study of what really happened. This is well worth the time it takes to view. We can not let our guard down! http://www.freeforall.tv/

former Montanan

10/1/2008 8:42:21 PM CT

Yes, I watched the freeforall movie last night too. Chilling--just absolutely chilling. I wept to see what they did to John Kerry by manipulating polling machines, intimidating voters, caging voters, etc. Somehow Rove and his thugs should be brought to justice. Just think what this country would be like today without Karl Rove's manipulation of the Bush/Gore election!!

Montana

10/3/2008 1:00:40 AM CT

This is an update from Montana ... surprise, surprise, surprise ... in today's newspaper on page 1 (The Missoulian) headlines "State GOP challenges eligibility of voters ... 6,000 voters in seven counties historically considered Democratic strongholds are being challenged. More than half of the people challenged statewide live, or previously lived, in Missoula County." Just proves the GOP is doing what it does best, disenfranchising voters! Now all the local voter registration offices are going to be inundated with calls from people making sure they have not been removed from the voter lists.

Last night I received a call from the Obama campaign, or rather my husband did but he wasn't home, and found that I was not on the voter list with him. As soon as I was found on a voter list, they were supposed to call me back. Guess what, they didn't call me back. So now I have to contact the voter registration office myself. Great! Just great! Like I have time for this garbage!! If I have been removed I will create such an stink about this Washington DC will be able to smell it all the way in Washington DC. The really ironic thing is, I have jury duty 10/8. How funny is that!

Poll Update (10/1)

6 Response(s) to Poll Update (10/1)

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