Electoral Projections Using LOESS

By: TJHalva | Comments [5] | Category: Methodology | 7/31/2008 2:11:34 PM CT

I rolled out a brand new algorithm that uses local regression to generate a trendline corresponding to the states poll data; I created a PDF detailing the method. The algorithm uses a degree of 3, a bandwidth of 15, and a confidence interval of 95%. If a given state has less than 5 non-partisan polls a local least squares method is used. The results of the algorithm are presented on our graphs and in our electoral college estimates. If there are two or more polls with the same end date they are averaged and treated as a single poll.

These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages.
  • bodytext
  • del.icio.us
  • Furl
  • NewsVine
  • Reddit
  • SphereIt
  • Technorati
  • YahooMyWeb
  • Ma.gnolia
  • StumbleUpon
Your Ad Here

5 Response(s) to Electoral Projections Using LOESS

1
alaa jaber
10/14/2012 3:13:24 PM CT

I need any pdf about LOESS
2
alaa jaber
10/14/2012 3:14:37 PM CT

I need any PDF about LOESS
3
Monika Warkentin
11/19/2022 3:19:31 AM CT

Hi, warm greetings!

I hope your autumn is off to a great start!

Quick question about your content.

Can we promote voteforamerica.net on a post on another site in your industry?
We're already working with other brands from your niche and industry. We want to mention your best-performing content (with a link back to your website) on a post.
There are no costs involved, only a link back from your end once we've linked to you.
It's beneficial to your link-building efforts!

If you're interested, let's talk.

I want to understand which content you want to promote most.
I need your reply/confirmation within 48 hours, though. After that, we will have moved on to another project.
Thursdays are off for us, so hoping we talk soon :)

Thanks!

Monika

If you'd like to unsubscribe click the following link.

https://mailerking.xyz/optout/?site=voteforamerica.net
4
Kathy Newton
11/29/2022 3:11:16 PM CT

Hello,

My name is Kathy Newton and and I have an offer that will cost you no money.

I can get you a link on a high domain authority website for no cost. The link is permanent and will not be marked as sponsored.

All I ask is that you post a link to one of my established client's website on one of your pages on your website.

This isn't a "link exchange" because you won't be getting a backlink from the site that you posted on your website.

Reply back to this email if you're interested in getting a no cost link from a DA 63 site that gets a lot of traffic on Google.

Kathy

If don't want to be contacted by me again click the following link.

https://mailerking.xyz/optout/?site=voteforamerica.net
5
Joshua Arias
12/21/2022 4:51:46 AM CT

Hi,

I'll keep this short and to the point. I'd like to pay you to post a link to one of my legitmate client's website. I'll pay you directly through paypal.

Joshua

If you don't want to hear from me again click this link.

https://mailerking.xyz/optout/?site=voteforamerica.net

Leave a Reply:

Name: (Defaults to Anonymous)
Type the characters you see in the image below:
(Word Verification)
Electoral College Projection Map
Senate Projection Map