By:
TJHalva |
Comments [1] | Category:
Senate | 11/16/2008 4:58:18 PM CT
On Friday November 14th, the Post Election Audit Review was carried out in 53 (1.297%) precincts across the state. The audit recounted 54,036 (1.872%) Senate votes statewide and included voter intent into some determinations.
Throughout the entire process 106 votes were corrected and Franken accumulated 2 additional votes. The table below depicts the results of this audit for each precinct in which it was conducted. The error rate measures the number of corrections relative to the total number of votes in each precinct. Votes for Dean Barkley and other Senate candidates were included in the math, but are not depicted due to space limitations.
Anoka |
Coon Rapids W3 P-2 |
2 |
-2 |
874 |
811 |
2026 |
0.10% |
Anoka |
Lino Lakes P-4 |
1 |
0 |
1177 |
548 |
2019 |
0.05% |
Becker |
Detorit Lakes W3 P-1 |
1 |
1 |
770 |
475 |
1414 |
0.07% |
Benton |
Minden TWP P2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
0.00% |
Benton |
Sauk Rapids P-3 |
1 |
0 |
749 |
502 |
1564 |
0.06% |
Benton |
Sauk Rapids P-4 |
1 |
1 |
503 |
417 |
1154 |
0.09% |
Brown |
Cottonwood TWP |
1 |
1 |
200 |
149 |
478 |
0.21% |
Carver |
Chaska W4 |
3 |
1 |
1426 |
790 |
2645 |
0.11% |
Chippewa |
Clara City |
1 |
0 |
304 |
232 |
683 |
0.15% |
Chippewa |
Montevideo P-1 |
1 |
-1 |
432 |
519 |
1202 |
0.08% |
Cottonwood |
Windom W-1 P-2 |
1 |
-1 |
320 |
281 |
707 |
0.14% |
Dakota |
South St. Paul P4 W2 |
1 |
1 |
516 |
802 |
1608 |
0.06% |
Fairbault |
Blue Earth W-2 |
1 |
1 |
314 |
212 |
636 |
0.16% |
Hennepin |
Bloomington W1 P15 |
1 |
-1 |
606 |
546 |
1349 |
0.07% |
Hennepin |
Maple Grove P-18 |
2 |
2 |
1074 |
438 |
1723 |
0.12% |
Hennepin |
Minneapolis W7 P9 |
3 |
-1 |
304 |
876 |
1327 |
0.23% |
Hennepin |
Minneapolis W9 P4 |
1 |
1 |
111 |
654 |
848 |
0.12% |
Hennepin |
Plymouth W4 P22 |
2 |
-1 |
835 |
487 |
1517 |
0.13% |
Hennepin |
Plymouth W4 P25 |
2 |
2 |
785 |
759 |
1853 |
0.11% |
Itasca |
Greenway TWP P-3 |
1 |
-2 |
112 |
218 |
382 |
0.26% |
Kanabec |
Ann Lake TWP |
1 |
0 |
87 |
98 |
232 |
0.43% |
Koochiching |
Scarlett Precinct |
1 |
-1 |
31 |
28 |
65 |
1.54% |
Lac Qui Parle |
Maxwell TWP |
1 |
-1 |
39 |
36 |
93 |
1.08% |
Lake of the Woods |
5-A Unorg |
1 |
1 |
157 |
114 |
324 |
0.31% |
Marshall |
McCrea TWP |
1 |
-1 |
87 |
37 |
146 |
0.68% |
Mille Lacs |
South Harbor TWP |
1 |
0 |
202 |
182 |
455 |
0.22% |
Morrison |
Little Falls TWP |
1 |
-1 |
483 |
296 |
936 |
0.11% |
Otter Tail |
Dunn TWP |
1 |
1 |
351 |
212 |
631 |
0.16% |
Pipestone |
Jasper |
2 |
0 |
100 |
109 |
234 |
0.85% |
Polk |
Fosston City |
1 |
1 |
363 |
276 |
733 |
0.14% |
Ramsey |
Roseville P-2 |
4 |
-2 |
924 |
1110 |
2399 |
0.17% |
Ramsey |
St. Paul W3 P5 |
2 |
-2 |
782 |
1060 |
2129 |
0.09% |
Ramsey |
St. Paul W3 P13 |
1 |
1 |
447 |
1341 |
2023 |
0.05% |
Ramsey |
St. Paul W6 P5 |
3 |
3 |
226 |
678 |
1055 |
0.28% |
Redwood |
Redwood Falls W3 |
0 |
0 |
358 |
310 |
860 |
0.00% |
Renville |
Franklin |
1 |
-1 |
81 |
100 |
243 |
0.41% |
Rock |
Beaver Creek TWP |
2 |
-2 |
130 |
66 |
210 |
0.95% |
St. Louis |
Babbit |
28 |
-2 |
299 |
471 |
905 |
3.09% |
St. Louis |
Eveleth P6 |
11 |
5 |
61 |
214 |
310 |
3.55% |
Scott |
Prior Lake P5 |
2 |
1 |
1110 |
488 |
1824 |
0.11% |
Scott |
Savage P-2 |
1 |
1 |
1031 |
870 |
2332 |
0.04% |
Sherburne |
Clear Lake TWP |
1 |
1 |
555 |
297 |
1079 |
0.09% |
Sherburne |
Elk River W2 P2B |
1 |
-2 |
961 |
464 |
1746 |
0.06% |
Stearns |
Fair Haven TWP |
2 |
0 |
354 |
236 |
830 |
0.24% |
Steele |
Merton TWP |
1 |
0 |
87 |
53 |
222 |
0.45% |
Stevens |
Swan Lake TWP |
2 |
2 |
95 |
36 |
149 |
1.34% |
Swift |
Swenoda TWP |
0 |
0 |
25 |
25 |
72 |
0.00% |
Traverse |
Wheaton P2 |
1 |
1 |
151 |
165 |
403 |
0.25% |
Waseca |
New Richland City |
1 |
0 |
221 |
222 |
573 |
0.17% |
Washington |
Cottage Grove P3 |
1 |
-2 |
651 |
790 |
1774 |
0.06% |
Washington |
Cottage Grove P5 |
1 |
1 |
644 |
644 |
1539 |
0.06% |
Winona |
Lewiston |
1 |
-1 |
345 |
340 |
829 |
0.12% |
Wright |
Buffalo P1 |
1 |
-1 |
744 |
509 |
1542 |
0.06% |
Total |
|
106 |
2 |
23596 |
21595 |
54036 |
Avg: 0.37% |
Based upon the random sample, Norm Coleman won 33 (62.26%) precincts, while Franken won the other 20. This ratio slightly exaggerates support for Norm Coleman; using the complete sample of 4,130 precincts, Coleman wins just 60.46% of all statewide precincts. If the result from the audit sample is extrapolated out into the remaining precincts, where Franken accrues 2 votes for every 53 precincts, the Democratic challenger should pick up 156 votes through the recount process. If an adjusted ratio is used, which reflects the statewide precinct ratio, Franken gains approximately 5 votes in addition to the aforementioned 156.
Another item to consider is the high error rate in St. Louis County. St. Louis County is the largest county in Minnesota, and is located in the upper right portion of the state:

Using the information presented in the above image (click on the image for a more thorough explanation) St. Louis County may hold the key to a Franken comeback. Noting the results of the Audit, where Franken accrued 3 votes in just five (three are not depicted in the table because there was no change) precincts from St. Louis County, Franken could gain 120 votes if the aforementioned trend continues in all 232 precincts of St. Louis County.
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MN-Senate: Precinct Audit Analysis
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