Poll Update (10/27)

Senator Ted Stevens of Alaska was convicted on seven felony counts relating to his corruption trial. After the verdict was read Steven continued to profess his innocence and went on to say that "this verdict is the result of the unconscionable manner in which the Justice Department lawyers conducted this trial. I ask that Alaskans and my Senate colleagues stand with me as I pursue my rights. I remain a candidate for the United States Senate." If you truly believe that a federal trial was carried out in an "unconscionable manner," you have defied your obligation as a US Senator to uphold the Constitution of the United States' fifth and fourteenth amendment, and thus, you are unfit to hold the office which you seek. The mere absurdity of your reasoning justifies your conviction. Now onto the polls.

Obama now has an outside shot at hitting 400 Electoral Votes. A new poll by Rasmussen places Arizona in the Lean Rep category. If in the next eight days Obama takes the lead in Arizona the election is over. Here were the rest of today's polls:

RacePollsterEndDateDemRepOther
Arizona (10)Northern Arizona University, U of WA10/27/2008414910
Arizona (10)Rasmussen Reports10/26/200846513
Arizona (10)Zimmeran & Associates 10/19/200841.543.514
Colorado (9)FOX News, Rasmussen Reports10/26/200850464
Colorado SenatePublic Opinion Strategies (R)10/23/2008513811
Connecticut (7)University of Connecticut10/22/2008563113
Florida (27)Suffolk University, 7News10/26/2008474310
Florida (27)Datamar Inc10/26/200849.244.47
Florida (27)Reuters, Zogby10/26/200847476
Florida (27)FOX News, Rasmussen Reports10/26/200851472
Illinois SenateResearch 2000, Post-Dispatch10/23/200859347
Indiana (11)Reuters, Zogby10/26/200844506
Iowa (7)Marist College10/24/200852426
Mississippi (6)Press Register, U of Alabama10/23/2008334621
Mississippi-B SenatePress Register, U of Alabama10/23/2008324523
Missouri (11)SurveyUSA10/26/200848484
Missouri (11)FOX News, Rasmussen Reports10/26/200848475
Missouri (11)Reuters, Zogby10/26/200848466
Nevada (5)Reuters, Zogby10/26/200848448
New Hampshire (4)Marist College10/23/200850455
New York (31)Siena10/21/200862317
North Carolina (15)FOX News, Rasmussen Reports10/26/200848493
North Carolina SenatePublic Policy Polling (D)10/26/200848457
North Carolina (15)Public Policy Polling (D)10/26/200849483
North Carolina (15)Reuters, Zogby10/26/200850464
Ohio (20)FOX News, Rasmussen Reports10/26/200849456
Ohio (20)Reuters, Zogby10/26/200850455
Ohio (20)University of Akron10/15/200844.640.914
Oklahoma SenateTVPoll.com10/26/200841518
Oklahoma (7)TVPoll.com10/26/200834.861.63
Oregon SenateSurveyUSA10/26/200849429
Oregon (7)SurveyUSA10/26/200857385
Pennsylvania (21)Temple University10/26/200850419
Pennsylvania (21)Morning Call Tracking10/25/200853416
Virginia (13)SurveyUSA10/26/200852435
Virginia (13)FOX News, Rasmussen Reports10/26/200851472
Virginia (13)Reuters, Zogby10/26/200852453
Virginia SenateSurveyUSA10/26/200863325
Virginia SenateWashington Post10/25/200861318
Virginia (13)Washington Post10/25/200852444
Virginia (13)VA Commonwealth Poll10/22/200851409
Virginia SenateVA Commonwealth Poll10/22/2008612712
Washington (11)The Washington Poll10/26/2008553411
West Virginia (5)Reuters, Zogby10/26/2008405010

I've spent the majority of my free time today collating 2004 and 2006 election results. Using this data I hope to provide some historical perspective on Senate Coefficients. Look for it later tonight and look for a follow up to our Bradley Effect Model later in the week.

Update: I incorrectly entered the Senate poll for Virginia taken by VCU as a presidential poll. This has now been corrected; my thanks goes out to "dickelocker" for bringing this to my attention.

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1 Response(s) to Poll Update (10/27)

1
dickelocker
10/28/2008 7:14:06 PM CT

What's the strange VA Commonwealth Poll (2nd of 10/22) with 61ob to 27Mc and 12 undecided? Two from VA Common on same day. Is 2nd the Senate race? That equates with other Warner polls.

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