| Comments 
| Category: Daily Update
| 10/21/2008 2:22:06 PM CT
Today is done:
If you were a McCain strategist in charge of campaign optimism, your line of attack today would be: "We have a solid lead in Kentucky, Oklahoma and Wyoming, that's all I have to report." If you're McCain's strategist in charge of realism, you probably didn't bother showing up at work today. Obama on the other hand has taken his first lead in a Public Policy Polling (D) poll of Indiana and has led or been tied in the last eleven polls taken in North Carolina.
If you're a Republican you've probably redirected your focus to the Senate. Although the Senate picture doesn't look much brighter for your favorite right winged party. A new poll by SurveyUSA shows the Kentucky Senate race as an absolute dead heat. Republicans can try and spin this all they want, but it ultimately comes down to the fact the Kentucky is one of the few states McCain absolutely does not have to worry about; and the fact that Mitch McConnell is the Republican Minority leader. The leader of the Republican Party in the Senate faces a potential defeat in one of the reddest states in the Union; talk about a poor brand. The Kentucky Senate graph is below:
The condition of Kentucky's Senate race is not an isolated issue, Republican Senators elsewhere are facing fierce competition. Today brought two new polls from such races; Civitas Institute (R) shows Democratic challenger Claire Hagan with a four point lead over Republican incumbent Elizabeth Dole in North Carolina; and the Minnesota Star Tribune's Senate supplement was published late last night. The Minnesota Senate race has been contentious throughout and the Star Tribune poll makes no exceptions. Al Franken, the Democratic challenger to incumbent Republican Norm Coleman has a slim lead of three, down from nine in the previous conducted by the Star Tribune. If this seems like an oddity, it is, and I'll prove it later.
I'm working on a slick analysis of the Minnesota Senate race. I'm going to wait until after Rasmussen publishes today's polls because I'm terrified they'll pop out a Minnesota poll and force me to start over. Check back later tonight for the result.
Poll Update (10/21)
Leave a Reply:
Name: (Defaults to Anonymous)
Type the characters you see in the image below: