Poll Update (9/13)

Just one poll so far, but its was worth posting. Rasmussen gives McCain a three point edge in Nevada, his best result ever in the state. They both increased their performance by a point over Rasmussen's previous Nevada poll. The national tracking polls are all out today and show very little change from yesterday. McCain gained a point in two polls, lost one in another and remained unchanged in the fourth while Obama held steady in three and lost a point in one. McCain's improvement can likely be traced to the inclusion of part one of Palin's ABC interview (clearly the best segment for the GOP) to the tracking polls' three day average. I'll update the table if additional polls are released.

RacePollsterEndDateObamaMcCainOther
Colorado (9)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200845.547.56
Florida (27)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200841.842.116
Michigan (17)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/20084943.38
Minnesota (10)SurveyUSA9/11/200849474
Missouri (11)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200842.448.510
Nevada (5)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200842.550.18
Nevada (5)Rasmussen Reports9/11/200846495
New Hampshire (4)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200842.849.18
New Mexico (5)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200845.644.110
North Carolina (15)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200848.146.65
Ohio (20)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200843.949.86
Pennsylvania (21)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200844.349.17
South Dakota (3)Rasmussen Reports9/9/200837549
Virginia (13)Zogby Interactive (D)9/12/200843.850.36

I don't really know why I wasted my time entering the Zogby Interactive polls. They have no basis for accuracy. I have also labeled them with a (D), not necessarily because they are partisan, but because anything internet based should favor Obama's youth centric support.

Obama's also out with two new ads (Real Change, Still) overtly calling out McCain on his recent campaign tactics.

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1 Response(s) to Poll Update (9/13)

1
Steve
9/14/2008 5:46:45 PM CT

There is NO WAY Zogby's polling should be tagged with a "D". He does partisan polling on occasion (John Sweeney in NY-20 was one of his clients), and virtually all of his clients are Republicans.

Actually, if I were you, I would not even use Zogby Interactive. It makes a mockery of the idea of a random sample. He asks for volunteers, and then culls his sample from that pool of volunteers. It is absurdly easy to game these numbers, simply by sending out a blast email to supporters to volunteer.

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